
Once again I am pleased to report that we had an excellent year.
New records were established this year in almost all operating and
financial categories, highlighted by an 18 percent return on equity
without using leverage. This is
the fifth consecutive year that Credo has generated record financial results,
and the fourteenth consecutive year of record reserves.
I am also pleased to report that we have made good progress on the
Calliope joint venture front, and that we have some exciting drilling
opportunities on the immediate horizon. If
these projects realize their potential, the result will generate significant
value for our shareholders.
Our straightforward goals are grounded on properly managing our costs
and risks:
·
Earn a
profit that will provide an excellent
return on our shareholders’ investment
·
Increase
production volumes
·
Replace
produced reserves and
increase the reserve base
In addition to making a record profit, we replaced 189 percent of this
year’s oil and natural gas production. Our
2007 capital investment of $8,834,000 generated proved reserves totaling
220,000 barrels of oil and 2.9 billion cubic feet of gas.
Our reserve replacement cost was a low $1.68 per thousand cubic of gas equivalent,
excluding the cost of undeveloped properties.
Our 2007 finding cost is lower than last year which is a
significant achievement in view of the rapidly rising cost of field services.
We did not achieve our production goal because of the timing of two
exceptionally high rate discoveries last year.
Flush production from those discoveries caused prior year production to
increase 18%, which was more than we could overcome this year.
The table below shows our five year compound average growth rate for
production and certain other critical financial and operating categories.
Five Year CAGR
·
Production
increase
8%
·
Reserve
increase
12%
·
Revenue
increase
28%
·
Net income
increase
39%
Credo’s shareholder returns are among the top of U.S. public
companies with almost a 300 percent five year gain and an 800 percent ten
year gain. Despite this year’s
record performance and our consistent long-term growth, our stock price ended
the year significantly lower than last year’s close.
As Credo’s largest shareholder, that is particularly disappointing to
me because I do not believe that the stock price properly reflects Credo’s
current underlying value. We have
seen cycles like this before, and I am certain that Credo’s stock will
adjust accordingly as our staff continues to manage a strong asset base with
our successful and time tested business strategy.
Once again in 2007, we did a substantial amount of natural gas price
hedging. Because gas prices have
an enormous impact on our financial performance, we have a long-standing
policy of actively managing prices through hedging.
This plays an important role in maintaining the consistent
long‑term performance that creates confidence and credibility with all
of our constituencies.
Business Strategy.
We have an excellent portfolio of assets, and our people are executing
a consistent and well designed strategy that has produced outstanding long
term results. Our business focuses
on two core strategies: application
of our patented Calliope technology and conventional drilling.
These two strategies are very synergistic and both have contributed
significantly to the consistent achievement of our goals.
We have also received the initial patent on another new fluid lift
technology that has very broad application for shallow wells.
We expect to begin field testing the new system this summer.
Calliope Gas Recovery System.
I am pleased to report that we have recently completed two new Calliope
joint venture agreements. One
agreement provides for a substantial license fee based on meeting a specified
future performance threshold. The
other provides for Credo to share in up to 50 percent of the Calliope
production from what I anticipate will be a significant number of wells.
The recent joint ventures are a direct result of the new approach we
implemented this year in response to obstacles that we have encountered.
Despite initial enthusiasm for Calliope, we often see project proposals
get delayed or suspended in the numerous layers of review and approval that
are required by large companies.
To address that problem, we developed a new and interactive way to
present Calliope that can be easily tailored to the needs of the audience.
Our new presentation allows us to efficiently inform people of all
disciplines and at all levels within large organizations about how Calliope
works and its impressive track record.
We compiled empirical data for the new presentation that shows the
advantages of using Calliope early in a well’s life as a single step
solution to liquid loading problems. We
have also developed data that clearly demonstrates how Calliope has created a
significant production advantage over other wells in the same reservoir.
I recommend our December 2, 2007 press release for your review and
consideration because it contains very detailed information about Calliope’s
track record.
The data shows that Calliope has created almost $100,000,000 of gross
value at today’s natural gas prices from a group of 14 wells that were
previously dead or uneconomic. These
are the non-experimental, “go forward” applications that represent a
wide variety of Calliope options which can be readily applied to other wells.
With Calliope installed, the 14 wells have already produced an
incremental 3.4 billion cubic feet of gas, worth about $23,000,000 at
today’s gas prices. The wells
are still highly profitable, producing about 60.0 million cubic feet of gas
per month worth over $5,000,000 per year.
Total ultimate Calliope reserves of about 14.0 billion cubic feet
of gas were estimated for these wells.
Calliope added those reserves at a finding cost of only $0.41 per
thousand cubit feet. That is an
extremely low finding cost, particularly when compared to the industry-wide
finding cost last year of over $3.00. The “all in” Calliope
cost, which includes the costs to produce and sell the gas, is only $1.02 per
thousand cubic feet.
This economic result on “down and out” wells is nothing short of
remarkable, and the performance of the wells is a testament to how Calliope
can add new domestic reserves in the face of rising demand for foreign energy.
One of the 14 wells, the J.C. Carroll, had been dead for five years
when Calliope was installed. Previous
operators had exhausted the other fluid lift options before Credo purchased
the well. We installed Calliope
and the well immediately came back to life producing at the rate of 20 million
cubic feet of gas per month. With
Calliope, the previously dead Carroll well has already produced over 1.0
billion cubic feet of Calliope gas, and it is expected to ultimately produce
between 1.5 and 1.7 billion cubic feet of Calliope gas reserves.
We have proven beyond any doubt that Calliope will perform as
advertised. We are now working at
various levels with interested companies, and I am optimistic that additional
joint ventures will result from the discussions.
I am also confident that, as we bring Calliope into large companies, it
will generate a lot of enthusiasm as word spreads about Calliope’s
performance and outstanding economics.
Drilling and Exploration.
We are pleased with each of our three primary drilling projects.
The deep Wilcox drilling about to kick off in South Texas, in particular,
has enormous potential to increase our production and reserves.
Oklahoma drilling has historically been the primary driver for Credo’s
production growth. We own
approximately 75,000 gross acres in Oklahoma and have interests in almost 200
wells. We have drilled over 80 wells
in the past five years. Nine
separate prospects are currently being developed and we are planning wildcat
drilling on several new prospects. We
expect our drilling activity to continue to be concentrated in Oklahoma during
2008. In particular, we are about to
drill for multiple carbonate zones in Major County that we characterize as a
“resource play” due to the number of stacked zones and their production
profiles. If the drilling works as
expected, we could have 12 to 15 possible locations on current Credo acreage
where we own interests ranging from 50 to 70 percent.
We are also very pleased with recent successes on our Central Kansas
drilling project where four 100 barrel per day wells have been drilled.
This is Credo’s primary oil play, and we have built our position in the
play to about 50,000 gross acres consisting of four separate projects with
interests ranging form 12.5 percent to 70 percent.
Our drilling results have improved dramatically in recent months as we
continue to find the keys to successful seismic and geological interpretations. We
hope to substantially build our interest in the play during 2008 to further
diversify our drilling program.
In South Texas, Credo owns up to 11 percent in the high risk but high
potential Gemini Prospect where gross
reserves in the hundreds of billions of cubic feet of gas are well within
reason.
In
return for generating the prospect, Credo will receive cash consideration and
our interest will be “carried” through the pipeline connection on the first
two wells. This eliminates our
exploratory drilling risk while maintaining our lower risk development rights.
A
wildcat well will be drilled to test the Wilcox sands at 17,500 feet as soon as
the operator secures a top quality rig.
Gemini Prospect is located about seven miles southeast of the N.E.
Thompsonville Field which has produced over 820 billion cubic feet of gas from
the Wilcox sands. Seismic over both
the Gemini Prospect and the N.E. Thompsonville Field indicates that the Gemini
Prospect has a structural trap similar in character to N. E. Thompsonville
Field. The presence of the Wilcox
sands on the Gemini Prospect is indicated by 3‑D seismic correlation
to an old Amoco well located about four miles to the south which found 300 feet
of highly porous, but wet, Wilcox sands. Our
modern seismic suggests that a well on the Gemini Prospect should penetrate a
large structural closure (up to 1,200 acres) located in a separate fault block
about 1,300 feet high to the Amoco well.
That provides the opportunity for a significant gas accumulation up-dip
from the dry hole. Two sister prospects
located just north of Gemini will be tested for the deep Wilcox formation if our
first well is a discovery. The
size of Gemini Prospect, coupled with the substantial drilling opportunities to
the north, would have an enormous positive impact on Credo’s production and
reserve growth if the play is successful.
The Future.
By most measures, our company has doubled and tripled in size during the
past five years. We have excellent
people who are dedicated to Credo’s continued success, and they manage a
strong asset base with a business strategy that has proven successful for Credo.
In a short time, we have completed four Calliope joint ventures, and we
are currently working on joint ventures with several more companies that are
intrigued by the technology and its impressive track record.
As we have grown, we have maintained our drilling momentum in Oklahoma
while diversifying into major new projects in South Texas and Central Kansas.
The latter projects are just now maturing to the point where they can
make a substantial contribution to Credo’s future growth.
Your management and Board members are highly engaged in the success of Credo because we have a 20% stake in the outcome. We will continue to pursue growth opportunities with the strategic discipline that has produced our long record of outstanding operating and financial performance. As always, we appreciate your support, and we are mindful of our duty to uphold the trust you have placed in us through your ownership of Credo shares.

James T. Huffman
President and Chief Executive Officer
January 28, 2008
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